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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.38+1.80vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.40+6.11vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.94+3.54vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.05+2.30vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.28+3.62vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.15-0.07vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.64+0.52vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara0.67-0.79vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-1.15vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-2.43vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii-0.46-2.33vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.40-5.81vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.56-10.35vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.33-3.27vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-2.62-2.10vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-2.19-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8University of Hawaii2.380.3%1st Place
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8.11University of Hawaii0.400.0%1st Place
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6.54University of South Florida0.940.1%1st Place
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6.3University of California at Santa Barbara1.050.1%1st Place
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8.62University of Hawaii0.280.0%1st Place
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5.93University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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7.52University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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7.21University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.0%1st Place
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7.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.0%1st Place
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9.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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10.67University of Hawaii-0.460.0%1st Place
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8.19University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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4.65University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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12.73Rutgers University-1.330.0%1st Place
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14.9University of California at San Diego-2.620.0%1st Place
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14.4University of California at Davis-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 32.9% | 21.2% | 17.5% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julian Skerrett | 6.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kees Horn | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Jones | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Florence Duff | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 17.8% | 7.4% | 1.1% |
| Katherine Olsen | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Warrior | 13.6% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Martin | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 7.8% | 14.0% | 26.1% | 21.7% | 8.8% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 9.5% | 24.0% | 56.2% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 12.9% | 37.1% | 33.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.