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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.56+3.26vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii-0.46+8.39vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.47+1.62vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.40+4.00vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.05+0.79vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.36+1.98vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.25+0.38vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+0.05vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.15-4.50vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara0.67-4.01vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-5.48vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida0.94-7.84vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii-0.14-5.46vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.33-3.35vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-2.62-2.16vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-2.19-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26University of South Florida1.560.2%1st Place
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10.39University of Hawaii-0.460.0%1st Place
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4.62University of Southern California1.470.2%1st Place
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8.0University of Hawaii0.400.0%1st Place
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5.79University of California at Santa Barbara1.050.1%1st Place
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7.98University of Hawaii0.360.0%1st Place
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8.38University of California at Berkeley0.250.1%1st Place
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9.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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5.5University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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6.99University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.1%1st Place
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7.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.1%1st Place
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6.16University of South Florida0.940.1%1st Place
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9.54University of Hawaii-0.140.0%1st Place
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12.65Rutgers University-1.330.0%1st Place
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14.84University of California at San Diego-2.620.0%1st Place
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14.34University of California at Davis-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kailey Warrior | 17.5% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 7.3% | 1.2% |
| Luke Harris | 16.5% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Julian Skerrett | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gardiner Van Ness | 4.4% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael McCulloch | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Grace Jones | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Kisling | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zach Brennan | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Martin | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 26.1% | 21.2% | 8.9% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 8.1% | 23.6% | 56.1% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 13.4% | 35.8% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.