Race 1A

maisa-north-1-qualifier

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Austen Anderson 26.8% 22.1% 22.4% 14.3% 8.4% 4.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Shawn Murray 34.2% 28.7% 17.3% 9.9% 6.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Sachs 6.8% 10.3% 13.2% 16.5% 16.1% 14.9% 10.1% 6.9% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Philip Alley 13.6% 15.7% 18.0% 17.9% 15.4% 9.9% 5.9% 2.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Arthur Bailey IV 6.5% 8.4% 10.0% 12.0% 14.8% 15.3% 15.0% 8.8% 5.1% 2.6% 1.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Danielle Sookiasian 0.9% 0.7% 2.2% 3.4% 4.1% 5.1% 6.7% 11.0% 12.7% 13.2% 16.0% 15.4% 8.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Melissa Bermudez 5.1% 6.4% 6.2% 10.1% 11.7% 15.2% 15.9% 12.8% 8.1% 4.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
James Codega 1.8% 2.8% 2.6% 4.4% 6.3% 8.5% 9.1% 12.8% 16.1% 14.4% 9.7% 8.1% 3.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Clifton Kartner 1.4% 1.7% 3.1% 4.3% 4.8% 6.5% 10.4% 11.9% 14.7% 13.0% 12.2% 9.9% 6.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jon Gambacorta 0.5% 0.3% 1.0% 1.3% 1.7% 3.0% 3.6% 5.1% 6.7% 8.2% 11.6% 19.0% 38.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jon Gambacorta 0.5% 0.3% 1.0% 1.3% 1.7% 3.0% 3.6% 5.1% 6.7% 8.2% 11.6% 19.0% 38.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Danielle Sookiasian 0.9% 0.7% 2.2% 3.4% 4.1% 5.1% 6.7% 11.0% 12.7% 13.2% 16.0% 15.4% 8.6% 0.0% 0.0%
David Geer 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 1.4% 2.9% 4.4% 5.4% 7.2% 10.3% 14.9% 14.4% 17.3% 19.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Edward Doran 0.6% 0.7% 1.6% 2.1% 3.2% 5.0% 7.3% 8.8% 9.8% 12.7% 15.7% 17.5% 15.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Libby 1.1% 1.5% 1.6% 2.4% 4.0% 5.9% 8.5% 11.7% 12.3% 15.0% 15.3% 11.7% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.