Race 2A

maisa-north-1-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Shawn Murray 34.6% 25.9% 17.9% 12.1% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Austen Anderson 27.0% 24.6% 19.7% 14.3% 7.0% 4.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Philip Alley 12.4% 18.1% 18.4% 15.6% 17.3% 8.4% 5.6% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arthur Bailey IV 5.6% 8.2% 8.4% 14.4% 16.3% 14.9% 12.6% 10.3% 5.1% 2.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Sachs 8.8% 9.5% 14.1% 14.6% 14.4% 14.9% 11.5% 6.7% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Melissa Bermudez 3.9% 5.7% 7.3% 9.8% 12.5% 15.8% 15.3% 10.7% 9.8% 5.4% 2.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
James Codega 2.2% 2.1% 3.9% 3.6% 5.3% 10.0% 10.5% 13.4% 13.5% 13.2% 9.8% 9.8% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Clifton Kartner 1.6% 1.8% 2.9% 3.9% 6.0% 6.1% 10.1% 12.4% 15.1% 14.1% 12.3% 9.8% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Edward Doran 0.9% 1.3% 1.5% 3.5% 2.7% 4.5% 5.8% 8.0% 12.1% 13.3% 16.4% 15.1% 14.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Jon Gambacorta 0.7% 0.1% 1.0% 1.4% 1.9% 2.7% 3.4% 5.1% 7.4% 9.2% 11.9% 18.6% 36.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Danielle Sookiasian 0.9% 0.9% 1.3% 3.4% 3.8% 6.1% 8.6% 11.2% 13.6% 13.6% 14.5% 13.4% 8.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Libby 0.7% 1.3% 2.6% 2.1% 5.0% 6.4% 8.2% 11.1% 11.1% 14.4% 15.0% 13.0% 9.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Danielle Sookiasian 0.9% 0.9% 1.3% 3.4% 3.8% 6.1% 8.6% 11.2% 13.6% 13.6% 14.5% 13.4% 8.7% 0.0% 0.0%
David Geer 0.7% 0.5% 1.0% 1.3% 2.1% 3.5% 5.1% 7.3% 7.7% 12.9% 16.0% 18.5% 23.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Jon Gambacorta 0.7% 0.1% 1.0% 1.4% 1.9% 2.7% 3.4% 5.1% 7.4% 9.2% 11.9% 18.6% 36.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.