← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

17.1%
Within 2 Positions
6.9
Avg Position Diff
41
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41
Luke Harris 10.4% 7.8% 7.4% 8.6% 7.0% 7.5% 5.5% 4.5% 7.8% 4.4% 6.0% 4.7% 4.3% 3.0% 2.3% 2.7% 1.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Juan Casal 5.1% 3.1% 3.9% 4.9% 4.1% 4.7% 5.2% 5.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.6% 5.2% 5.3% 4.5% 4.2% 4.1% 5.3% 4.2% 3.8% 3.0% 2.5% 2.5% 2.0% 1.2% 1.0% 0.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Fitzsimmons 6.8% 8.6% 7.7% 6.1% 8.6% 7.3% 6.8% 5.7% 6.0% 4.8% 5.2% 5.7% 4.9% 3.0% 3.0% 2.6% 1.5% 2.2% 0.6% 1.1% 0.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Isaac Sharp 2.2% 1.9% 2.1% 3.0% 3.2% 2.9% 2.6% 4.2% 2.4% 3.4% 3.3% 3.5% 4.3% 3.7% 3.9% 3.5% 4.0% 3.6% 4.7% 4.9% 4.7% 4.1% 3.2% 3.0% 3.2% 2.6% 3.0% 3.1% 1.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Hopkins 2.2% 3.1% 2.1% 3.5% 3.4% 2.7% 4.0% 3.1% 3.8% 4.1% 3.8% 4.3% 3.3% 4.1% 3.4% 5.0% 3.5% 4.9% 3.8% 2.3% 5.2% 4.0% 3.0% 4.0% 2.8% 3.4% 2.1% 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hudson Mayfield 11.4% 8.7% 9.3% 7.4% 6.0% 6.8% 8.1% 6.3% 5.2% 4.9% 5.0% 4.0% 4.4% 2.6% 1.9% 1.8% 1.3% 1.2% 0.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Emerson Marquez 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 1.0% 1.1% 1.0% 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 1.2% 1.2% 2.2% 2.0% 1.7% 1.8% 2.7% 2.4% 3.1% 2.6% 2.4% 3.3% 2.8% 4.2% 4.0% 4.0% 4.9% 5.2% 4.8% 4.5% 4.1% 5.6% 5.7% 4.0% 2.6% 2.7% 1.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.4%
Aston Smith 6.6% 6.9% 7.2% 6.9% 6.6% 6.6% 7.1% 6.7% 6.2% 5.2% 5.8% 4.5% 4.6% 2.7% 3.1% 3.7% 2.7% 2.1% 1.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Mueller 10.7% 10.6% 11.8% 8.9% 7.1% 8.4% 7.7% 8.5% 4.9% 4.1% 4.6% 3.3% 2.8% 1.9% 1.2% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cameron Berry 3.8% 3.2% 2.5% 3.9% 2.6% 3.4% 3.8% 3.2% 3.9% 4.3% 4.4% 3.3% 4.3% 4.0% 3.5% 4.4% 3.9% 3.1% 5.1% 4.4% 3.5% 3.5% 4.5% 3.3% 2.9% 2.0% 2.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Cuyler 3.3% 2.8% 2.7% 2.9% 3.8% 3.8% 3.3% 3.4% 3.4% 3.5% 3.1% 4.2% 4.6% 4.7% 4.9% 5.1% 5.7% 3.4% 4.6% 4.0% 4.3% 3.8% 2.8% 2.7% 2.4% 1.7% 1.6% 1.1% 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Allie Shand 5.3% 7.3% 5.0% 5.8% 6.3% 6.3% 6.2% 4.9% 6.7% 5.1% 5.1% 4.6% 4.2% 5.7% 4.4% 2.1% 2.6% 3.0% 2.0% 1.9% 1.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Groom 1.9% 1.7% 2.4% 2.7% 3.0% 2.2% 2.4% 2.7% 3.8% 3.7% 2.6% 4.3% 3.5% 4.2% 4.4% 4.1% 4.2% 5.1% 6.0% 4.4% 3.8% 4.5% 3.8% 3.1% 3.4% 3.9% 1.4% 2.0% 1.3% 1.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mitchell Powers 1.3% 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 1.6% 1.5% 1.3% 1.3% 2.6% 1.3% 1.4% 1.9% 2.0% 2.1% 1.4% 3.2% 3.6% 3.0% 1.9% 4.1% 4.0% 3.6% 4.0% 4.2% 5.0% 5.5% 4.6% 4.0% 4.4% 4.7% 3.8% 3.0% 2.4% 2.6% 1.8% 1.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Evelyn Engebretson 4.1% 4.7% 3.8% 4.1% 4.4% 5.0% 4.0% 4.6% 3.6% 4.8% 4.2% 5.8% 5.2% 4.3% 5.7% 4.7% 3.6% 4.4% 3.9% 2.9% 2.4% 2.9% 1.9% 0.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brayden Money 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 1.4% 0.9% 1.1% 1.4% 1.5% 1.4% 2.0% 1.5% 1.4% 2.1% 2.3% 2.8% 2.6% 3.7% 3.0% 4.1% 3.6% 4.0% 4.0% 4.9% 4.5% 5.9% 5.8% 4.1% 4.3% 5.6% 4.2% 4.5% 2.7% 2.1% 0.9%
Braedon Hansen 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 2.3% 1.2% 1.5% 1.7% 1.2% 1.8% 3.2% 2.3% 2.1% 2.8% 1.8% 3.1% 3.7% 3.4% 3.5% 4.3% 4.2% 5.1% 4.9% 4.0% 5.6% 3.6% 5.2% 4.8% 2.9% 3.1% 3.3% 3.0% 2.3% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Sadie Hoberman 1.0% 2.4% 1.0% 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 0.9% 1.3% 1.6% 1.8% 1.9% 1.8% 2.2% 3.0% 2.0% 3.5% 3.1% 2.1% 3.2% 3.8% 3.1% 3.2% 4.0% 4.4% 5.0% 5.5% 3.9% 4.5% 4.7% 4.0% 4.2% 2.5% 2.2% 2.4% 2.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Robert Bloomfield 1.6% 2.9% 2.1% 2.3% 2.7% 2.1% 3.2% 2.8% 3.4% 3.1% 4.2% 3.3% 3.4% 2.6% 4.4% 3.8% 4.9% 5.4% 4.5% 3.5% 4.5% 3.9% 4.5% 3.7% 2.1% 2.8% 2.6% 2.8% 1.8% 1.9% 0.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Liam Williams 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 1.7% 1.2% 2.3% 1.7% 2.1% 2.8% 2.9% 3.2% 3.7% 3.7% 3.9% 4.5% 4.9% 4.3% 4.2% 4.1% 5.4% 5.0% 6.1% 5.7% 4.6% 4.3% 4.0% 2.1%
Nathan Briar 0.4% 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% 1.9% 1.9% 1.2% 1.1% 1.8% 1.8% 2.6% 2.6% 2.6% 2.8% 3.3% 3.3% 4.4% 3.0% 4.8% 4.0% 4.5% 6.1% 6.0% 5.7% 5.1% 4.7% 5.4% 2.5% 2.8% 1.5% 1.0%
Adem Evecek 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.6% 0.4% 0.7% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 1.1% 0.9% 0.7% 1.7% 1.2% 1.8% 1.6% 1.7% 1.9% 2.8% 2.6% 1.8% 2.6% 3.7% 3.7% 4.0% 4.2% 3.4% 4.6% 6.6% 6.5% 6.6% 8.9% 5.0% 6.6% 4.8% 3.1%
Dante Massaro 1.0% 0.5% 0.8% 0.5% 1.1% 1.7% 1.1% 1.8% 2.1% 1.4% 1.9% 2.2% 1.4% 2.8% 2.3% 2.5% 3.7% 2.8% 3.5% 3.4% 3.2% 4.1% 4.0% 4.6% 3.0% 4.5% 4.0% 5.0% 3.5% 4.8% 5.4% 4.5% 2.5% 2.7% 1.9% 1.4% 1.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1%
Conor Kim 1.5% 2.2% 3.2% 2.1% 2.7% 3.2% 3.2% 2.8% 3.1% 4.3% 3.2% 3.8% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 4.1% 5.4% 4.1% 4.7% 4.2% 4.0% 3.3% 4.9% 3.7% 3.4% 2.7% 2.5% 1.8% 1.8% 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nejan Gunawardena 0.0% 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.9% 1.4% 1.0% 2.1% 0.9% 1.3% 2.0% 1.7% 1.9% 2.2% 1.2% 2.8% 2.5% 2.6% 3.0% 3.2% 4.0% 5.1% 4.1% 4.7% 4.7% 5.1% 6.1% 6.7% 5.0% 6.0% 3.8% 4.0% 2.6% 1.3%
Gennis Marie Pilapil 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 1.4% 1.2% 2.1% 0.9% 1.7% 2.5% 3.4% 2.6% 2.9% 3.3% 2.5% 3.4% 3.9% 5.9% 4.7% 5.7% 7.0% 6.7% 8.2% 9.2% 6.6% 5.3%
Skyler Chaffey 1.6% 1.0% 1.5% 0.8% 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 2.2% 1.8% 1.6% 2.1% 1.9% 2.1% 1.7% 2.8% 2.9% 3.0% 2.3% 2.7% 4.1% 3.9% 2.6% 6.0% 4.0% 4.3% 4.9% 4.5% 4.4% 4.1% 4.4% 2.1% 3.7% 3.0% 3.0% 2.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Juan Alcala 0.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 1.0% 1.6% 1.0% 1.5% 1.4% 2.1% 1.0% 1.5% 1.3% 2.2% 1.6% 1.7% 3.1% 2.7% 2.3% 4.0% 4.3% 4.8% 3.8% 5.6% 3.9% 6.4% 4.6% 4.6% 5.8% 5.1% 6.0% 4.2% 3.9% 0.4%
Conrad Kistler 0.7% 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 1.0% 1.2% 1.1% 1.0% 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 1.1% 2.0% 1.9% 3.2% 2.3% 3.1% 3.7% 4.0% 3.3% 5.5% 3.5% 4.3% 4.2% 3.8% 5.1% 4.9% 4.8% 5.5% 4.4% 3.9% 3.9% 3.2% 2.1% 1.3% 0.1%
Pike Williams 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.3% 0.8% 1.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.8% 3.2% 2.9% 2.5% 4.4% 5.1% 5.1% 6.1% 6.7% 10.5% 13.6% 19.3%
Colin Olson 3.8% 5.0% 5.1% 4.5% 4.0% 4.2% 4.0% 4.4% 4.2% 4.6% 4.5% 4.5% 3.6% 5.0% 4.2% 5.6% 5.8% 3.9% 3.5% 3.5% 2.6% 2.1% 1.9% 1.0% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Flanagan 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.5% 1.1% 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 1.5% 1.4% 1.5% 2.0% 1.3% 1.7% 2.8% 2.8% 2.7% 3.7% 4.4% 4.3% 5.7% 6.1% 6.0% 6.0% 8.5% 9.0% 8.8% 8.9%
Claire Diaco 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 0.2% 1.0% 0.7% 1.2% 1.2% 1.6% 2.0% 2.3% 2.2% 1.7% 3.2% 2.4% 3.3% 3.2% 2.9% 2.8% 4.5% 5.6% 5.1% 6.8% 6.4% 8.5% 8.4% 8.6% 6.6%
Alex Bussey 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 0.4% 1.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 1.4% 1.6% 2.6% 3.0% 3.0% 2.5% 2.7% 2.5% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.5% 4.2% 5.2% 6.0% 5.0% 5.2% 4.3% 5.1% 4.3% 4.1% 3.5% 3.0% 2.1% 0.6%
Emerson Coskey 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.9% 1.7% 0.5% 1.7% 0.7% 1.6% 1.6% 2.1% 2.2% 2.9% 2.4% 4.5% 4.1% 5.9% 7.4% 8.4% 15.1% 29.4%
Samantha Katz 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 1.4% 1.1% 1.3% 2.2% 1.4% 2.8% 2.7% 2.8% 2.3% 1.6% 2.8% 4.0% 4.1% 2.9% 4.5% 5.5% 5.8% 4.1% 4.9% 5.6% 6.6% 6.3% 5.3% 6.7% 4.0%
Elizabeth Fourney 0.8% 0.9% 1.7% 1.6% 1.4% 2.2% 1.4% 2.6% 1.7% 2.5% 2.5% 3.0% 2.6% 3.4% 3.2% 4.1% 3.2% 4.5% 4.0% 4.7% 4.2% 4.1% 3.9% 3.8% 4.5% 4.1% 4.3% 3.6% 3.7% 3.5% 2.0% 1.9% 1.4% 1.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nate Powers 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 1.8% 1.3% 1.9% 1.5% 1.8% 1.5% 2.1% 3.2% 2.9% 4.3% 3.3% 4.1% 4.1% 5.1% 6.0% 9.2% 10.2% 13.5% 14.5%
Ian Johnston 0.5% 0.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.8% 0.5% 0.9% 0.6% 1.3% 1.3% 1.7% 1.2% 1.2% 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% 1.9% 2.1% 2.8% 3.1% 2.2% 3.3% 3.9% 3.9% 4.5% 3.8% 6.0% 5.9% 5.6% 5.3% 6.0% 5.3% 6.2% 4.9% 3.5% 1.8%
Vivian Bonsager 6.5% 5.8% 6.0% 6.2% 7.2% 4.7% 5.1% 4.9% 5.9% 5.5% 7.0% 5.0% 4.3% 5.4% 3.0% 3.4% 2.6% 2.9% 2.7% 1.0% 1.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nikita Swatek 1.0% 1.1% 1.6% 1.3% 1.0% 1.9% 1.3% 2.0% 2.5% 2.7% 1.9% 2.3% 2.2% 3.6% 3.4% 2.5% 2.8% 3.3% 4.5% 3.2% 3.8% 5.0% 3.4% 4.2% 3.8% 4.6% 3.3% 4.6% 3.0% 3.3% 3.0% 3.1% 2.6% 1.5% 1.6% 1.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.