Race 3A

maisa-north-1-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Austen Anderson 27.4% 22.1% 19.7% 15.1% 8.9% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Shawn Murray 33.3% 28.9% 17.2% 11.4% 5.0% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Philip Alley 12.7% 17.2% 18.0% 16.8% 14.0% 10.7% 6.6% 2.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Melissa Bermudez 3.7% 5.2% 7.0% 10.3% 12.0% 13.4% 14.4% 12.8% 9.6% 6.5% 3.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Sachs 8.7% 9.5% 13.6% 13.6% 15.1% 14.5% 11.8% 6.7% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
James Codega 1.4% 1.8% 3.2% 4.3% 5.6% 7.5% 9.1% 11.9% 14.7% 13.6% 11.7% 9.9% 5.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Arthur Bailey IV 6.8% 8.3% 9.7% 12.0% 14.5% 16.1% 13.1% 9.6% 4.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Clifton Kartner 1.6% 1.8% 2.9% 3.2% 6.2% 7.1% 8.3% 11.8% 12.6% 14.2% 12.8% 11.3% 6.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Danielle Sookiasian 1.3% 0.9% 2.2% 3.0% 3.5% 4.6% 6.1% 8.5% 9.6% 13.7% 15.6% 16.1% 14.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Edward Doran 0.7% 1.2% 2.2% 2.1% 3.8% 3.3% 6.5% 8.1% 9.5% 12.9% 15.1% 14.0% 20.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Danielle Sookiasian 1.3% 0.9% 2.2% 3.0% 3.5% 4.6% 6.1% 8.5% 9.6% 13.7% 15.6% 16.1% 14.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Green 0.9% 1.3% 1.7% 4.3% 4.6% 7.1% 8.4% 11.6% 13.5% 12.8% 12.0% 13.0% 8.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Libby 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 2.6% 4.6% 6.6% 8.2% 9.1% 11.5% 10.4% 15.3% 15.2% 12.8% 0.0% 0.0%
David Geer 0.6% 0.6% 1.0% 1.3% 2.2% 2.8% 4.2% 6.3% 8.8% 10.5% 12.0% 18.9% 30.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Green 0.9% 1.3% 1.7% 4.3% 4.6% 7.1% 8.4% 11.6% 13.5% 12.8% 12.0% 13.0% 8.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.