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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+0.34vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii-0.46+0.41vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.98+0.84vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-2.22+0.09vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.34University of Hawaii1.090.7%1st Place
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2.41University of Hawaii-0.460.1%1st Place
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3.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.980.0%1st Place
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4.09University of California at San Diego-2.220.0%1st Place
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3.33University of California at San Diego-1.460.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 73.1% | 20.6% | 5.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 14.8% | 45.1% | 26.7% | 11.4% | 2.0% |
| Samantha Katz | 3.6% | 10.2% | 20.0% | 31.1% | 35.1% |
| Claire Diaco | 2.2% | 7.3% | 16.8% | 27.0% | 46.7% |
| Alex Bussey | 6.3% | 16.8% | 30.8% | 29.9% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.