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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+0.32vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-1.46+1.37vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-2.22+1.06vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii-0.46-1.59vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.98-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.32University of Hawaii1.090.7%1st Place
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3.37University of California at San Diego-1.460.1%1st Place
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4.06University of California at San Diego-2.220.0%1st Place
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2.41University of Hawaii-0.460.1%1st Place
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3.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 74.4% | 19.9% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bussey | 5.3% | 15.5% | 32.4% | 30.2% | 16.6% |
| Claire Diaco | 2.8% | 7.3% | 17.4% | 25.6% | 46.9% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 14.3% | 46.2% | 26.0% | 11.0% | 2.5% |
| Samantha Katz | 3.2% | 11.1% | 19.3% | 32.5% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.