Race 4A

maisa-north-1-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Austen Anderson 26.6% 22.9% 20.7% 14.8% 7.8% 4.6% 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Shawn Murray 34.5% 27.3% 18.4% 10.5% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Sachs 6.3% 11.4% 12.4% 14.3% 16.4% 16.1% 9.7% 6.4% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Philip Alley 13.7% 14.7% 18.8% 17.1% 14.2% 11.4% 6.0% 2.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
James Codega 2.1% 2.4% 2.6% 3.2% 8.2% 6.2% 10.3% 12.5% 12.7% 12.9% 12.0% 9.7% 5.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Clifton Kartner 1.1% 1.4% 3.2% 4.6% 4.3% 5.7% 10.5% 11.2% 12.7% 13.9% 13.5% 11.8% 6.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Melissa Bermudez 4.9% 6.0% 7.1% 9.6% 10.9% 13.5% 15.0% 12.1% 11.1% 4.7% 3.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Arthur Bailey IV 6.7% 7.2% 9.4% 13.1% 15.0% 15.6% 13.5% 9.2% 5.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Libby 1.1% 1.6% 2.1% 3.2% 4.6% 4.5% 6.3% 10.3% 10.7% 14.8% 14.2% 14.0% 12.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Danielle Sookiasian 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 2.4% 3.6% 5.4% 7.0% 8.6% 10.7% 14.1% 14.1% 14.5% 15.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Danielle Sookiasian 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 2.4% 3.6% 5.4% 7.0% 8.6% 10.7% 14.1% 14.1% 14.5% 15.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Green 1.0% 1.6% 1.7% 3.3% 5.2% 7.2% 8.1% 12.0% 12.1% 14.2% 12.8% 12.4% 8.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Edward Doran 0.5% 0.9% 1.3% 1.9% 2.9% 4.8% 7.3% 7.1% 9.1% 10.8% 15.6% 16.9% 20.9% 0.0% 0.0%
David Geer 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 2.0% 1.7% 2.5% 3.9% 6.8% 9.4% 9.2% 12.4% 18.9% 31.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Green 1.0% 1.6% 1.7% 3.3% 5.2% 7.2% 8.1% 12.0% 12.1% 14.2% 12.8% 12.4% 8.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.