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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.72+3.42vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04+1.25vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.07+0.27vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.45+2.92vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.28+1.39vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.79+2.52vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-1.78+4.22vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology-2.49+4.94vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61-1.12vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-0.57vs Predicted
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11Villanova University-1.31-1.43vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-0.48-4.76vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.93-4.15vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-1.63-3.38vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-1.97-3.20vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-2.72-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42Hampton University0.7213.3%1st Place
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3.25St. Mary's College of Maryland1.0423.1%1st Place
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3.27SUNY Maritime College1.0724.3%1st Place
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6.92Princeton University-0.456.3%1st Place
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6.39Washington College-0.287.0%1st Place
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8.52Princeton University-0.792.8%1st Place
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11.22University of Rochester-1.781.2%1st Place
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12.94Stevens Institute of Technology-2.490.9%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.613.6%1st Place
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9.43SUNY Stony Brook-0.603.5%1st Place
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9.57Villanova University-1.312.2%1st Place
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7.24Rochester Institute of Technology-0.485.8%1st Place
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8.85Drexel University-0.932.6%1st Place
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10.62Monmouth University-1.631.5%1st Place
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11.8Rutgers University-1.971.3%1st Place
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13.68U. S. Military Academy-2.720.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 13.3% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mats Braaten | 23.1% | 21.8% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Kuzloski | 24.3% | 19.2% | 17.6% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Tis | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Gould | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 9.0% |
| Gianmarco Costa | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 20.4% | 28.1% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 3.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Julia Priebke | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Ashley Franklin | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Sarah Ward | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 5.0% |
| Ralph Molinari | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 11.9% |
| Ella Dieterlen | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 20.1% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.