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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.90+0.25vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii-1.35+0.81vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.00+0.42vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-3.21+0.47vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.64-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.25University of Hawaii0.900.8%1st Place
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2.81University of Hawaii-1.350.1%1st Place
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3.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.000.0%1st Place
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4.47University of California at San Diego-3.210.0%1st Place
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3.05University of California at San Diego-1.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martha Schuessler | 79.1% | 17.1% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Shaeffer | 8.2% | 33.4% | 32.6% | 21.2% | 4.6% |
| Mira Shupe | 4.5% | 18.6% | 24.5% | 34.9% | 17.5% |
| Diana Vins | 1.1% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 16.7% | 68.4% |
| Emma Kalway | 7.1% | 26.2% | 30.4% | 26.8% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.