Race 5A

maisa-north-1-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Austen Anderson 26.8% 22.6% 21.6% 13.3% 10.0% 2.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Shawn Murray 34.5% 28.2% 15.6% 13.4% 4.8% 2.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Sachs 7.0% 10.2% 12.9% 15.3% 17.7% 15.5% 10.0% 6.2% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Clifton Kartner 1.4% 1.2% 2.8% 3.9% 5.7% 7.2% 11.7% 10.9% 13.4% 13.2% 13.4% 10.3% 4.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Edward Doran 1.5% 1.6% 1.9% 2.2% 2.5% 4.3% 6.6% 10.5% 10.7% 14.3% 15.6% 15.3% 13.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Codega 1.2% 1.8% 3.6% 4.7% 4.8% 8.8% 10.4% 12.8% 14.7% 13.9% 10.8% 9.4% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Philip Alley 14.6% 16.4% 18.7% 17.4% 15.5% 7.9% 5.3% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arthur Bailey IV 6.7% 7.4% 10.4% 13.4% 14.8% 16.7% 14.3% 8.2% 4.5% 2.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Melissa Bermudez 3.5% 6.0% 8.1% 7.3% 12.4% 15.4% 16.0% 12.4% 9.8% 5.1% 3.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Danielle Sookiasian 0.8% 1.9% 1.6% 2.8% 3.4% 6.0% 7.2% 10.1% 10.4% 16.1% 15.8% 13.0% 10.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Libby 0.9% 1.5% 1.5% 3.6% 4.4% 7.6% 9.2% 12.1% 14.0% 13.5% 14.1% 10.9% 6.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Danielle Sookiasian 0.8% 1.9% 1.6% 2.8% 3.4% 6.0% 7.2% 10.1% 10.4% 16.1% 15.8% 13.0% 10.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Jon Gambacorta 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 1.0% 1.9% 2.4% 2.1% 6.1% 7.2% 8.6% 10.7% 20.0% 38.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Jon Gambacorta 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 1.0% 1.9% 2.4% 2.1% 6.1% 7.2% 8.6% 10.7% 20.0% 38.5% 0.0% 0.0%
David Geer 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 1.7% 2.1% 3.2% 4.8% 6.8% 9.9% 11.5% 15.0% 20.2% 22.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.