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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.72+3.44vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College1.07+1.18vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04+0.30vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.28+2.42vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.45+2.05vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61+1.92vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.79+1.47vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester-1.78+3.17vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+0.25vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-0.48-2.65vs Predicted
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11Villanova University-1.31-1.53vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-1.63-1.45vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.93-4.03vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-1.97-2.08vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology-2.49-2.08vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-2.72-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44Hampton University0.7213.6%1st Place
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3.18SUNY Maritime College1.0724.3%1st Place
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3.3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.0424.1%1st Place
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6.42Washington College-0.286.0%1st Place
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7.05Princeton University-0.455.5%1st Place
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7.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.613.8%1st Place
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8.47Princeton University-0.793.1%1st Place
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11.17University of Rochester-1.781.7%1st Place
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9.25SUNY Stony Brook-0.602.9%1st Place
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7.35Rochester Institute of Technology-0.485.3%1st Place
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9.47Villanova University-1.312.3%1st Place
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10.55Monmouth University-1.631.8%1st Place
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8.97Drexel University-0.932.9%1st Place
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11.92Rutgers University-1.971.4%1st Place
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12.92Stevens Institute of Technology-2.490.7%1st Place
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13.61U. S. Military Academy-2.720.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 13.6% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Kuzloski | 24.3% | 22.9% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mats Braaten | 24.1% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tis | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Gould | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 8.2% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Ashley Franklin | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Julia Priebke | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Sarah Ward | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 5.2% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Ralph Molinari | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 14.1% |
| Gianmarco Costa | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 20.5% | 27.2% |
| Ella Dieterlen | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 19.2% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.