← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Rice University0.28+1.38vs Predicted
-
2Clemson University-0.45+1.43vs Predicted
-
3University of Texas-1.19+1.60vs Predicted
-
4Texas A&M University-1.18+0.59vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University-2.03+0.76vs Predicted
-
6University of Texas-1.12-1.51vs Predicted
-
7Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-0.08-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.38Rice University0.280.4%1st Place
-
3.43Clemson University-0.450.1%1st Place
-
4.6University of Texas-1.190.1%1st Place
-
4.59Texas A&M University-1.180.1%1st Place
-
5.76Northwestern University-2.030.0%1st Place
-
4.49University of Texas-1.120.1%1st Place
-
2.75Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-0.080.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Slipper | 36.4% | 24.6% | 17.5% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Neil Bunce | 14.2% | 17.7% | 22.3% | 19.4% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 3.5% |
| Rohit Rajan | 6.5% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 20.2% | 22.3% | 14.6% |
| Drew Gourley | 6.7% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 20.4% | 22.2% | 15.4% |
| Millie Rose Taub | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 11.8% | 20.0% | 48.9% |
| Kate Lyon | 7.7% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 17.9% | 19.7% | 15.6% |
| Nicholas Carew | 25.9% | 24.3% | 18.8% | 16.7% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.