Race 6A

maisa-north-1-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Austen Anderson 25.7% 24.1% 21.0% 12.9% 9.6% 4.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Shawn Murray 34.4% 28.6% 17.5% 10.2% 4.9% 2.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Sachs 6.9% 9.5% 14.0% 15.5% 15.4% 14.8% 12.2% 6.2% 3.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Melissa Bermudez 3.7% 4.7% 7.0% 10.8% 12.7% 15.1% 15.3% 11.6% 9.9% 5.4% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Philip Alley 14.9% 17.7% 15.7% 17.9% 14.7% 9.9% 5.4% 2.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arthur Bailey IV 7.0% 7.2% 10.0% 12.8% 16.1% 15.4% 13.0% 9.1% 5.7% 2.8% 0.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Codega 2.2% 2.4% 3.5% 3.5% 6.6% 9.1% 9.8% 10.3% 15.9% 12.8% 13.0% 8.3% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Danielle Sookiasian 1.0% 0.8% 2.9% 2.6% 3.4% 5.9% 6.4% 11.4% 10.9% 16.1% 15.4% 13.3% 9.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Danielle Sookiasian 1.0% 0.8% 2.9% 2.6% 3.4% 5.9% 6.4% 11.4% 10.9% 16.1% 15.4% 13.3% 9.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Clifton Kartner 1.5% 1.6% 3.1% 4.0% 4.6% 6.5% 10.0% 13.8% 12.1% 14.2% 13.7% 9.5% 5.4% 0.0% 0.0%
David Geer 0.7% 0.6% 1.5% 2.5% 2.4% 3.6% 5.2% 6.1% 9.8% 12.1% 13.9% 20.1% 21.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Libby 1.0% 1.2% 1.8% 3.6% 5.9% 6.0% 9.1% 12.7% 15.2% 12.4% 12.8% 12.0% 6.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jon Gambacorta 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 1.1% 1.0% 2.6% 4.2% 5.5% 6.5% 7.4% 12.5% 17.6% 40.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Edward Doran 0.8% 1.0% 1.3% 2.6% 2.7% 3.9% 6.8% 9.4% 9.8% 15.0% 15.4% 17.3% 14.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jon Gambacorta 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 1.1% 1.0% 2.6% 4.2% 5.5% 6.5% 7.4% 12.5% 17.6% 40.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.