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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College1.07+2.11vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.72+2.35vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04+0.14vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61+3.52vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.45+1.83vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology-2.49+7.30vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-1.63+3.36vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.48-0.92vs Predicted
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9Villanova University-1.31+0.51vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.79-1.57vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University-1.39-0.26vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-2.88vs Predicted
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13Washington College-1.65-2.10vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-0.93-5.09vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester-1.78-3.79vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-2.72-2.00vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina-2.92-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11SUNY Maritime College1.0725.0%1st Place
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4.35Hampton University0.7214.0%1st Place
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3.14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.0424.1%1st Place
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7.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.615.2%1st Place
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6.83Princeton University-0.456.8%1st Place
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13.3Stevens Institute of Technology-2.491.1%1st Place
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10.36Monmouth University-1.632.1%1st Place
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7.08Rochester Institute of Technology-0.484.5%1st Place
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9.51Villanova University-1.312.4%1st Place
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8.43Princeton University-0.793.5%1st Place
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10.74Rutgers University-1.392.1%1st Place
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9.12SUNY Stony Brook-0.602.8%1st Place
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10.9Washington College-1.651.8%1st Place
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8.91Drexel University-0.932.5%1st Place
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11.21University of Rochester-1.781.5%1st Place
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14.0U. S. Military Academy-2.720.5%1st Place
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14.5University of North Carolina-2.920.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Kuzloski | 25.0% | 23.0% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 14.0% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mats Braaten | 24.1% | 22.6% | 17.6% | 13.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gianmarco Costa | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 18.5% | 20.3% |
| Sarah Ward | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Ashley Franklin | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Julia Priebke | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kate Faranetta | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 3.1% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| George Wood | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Gould | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 4.7% |
| Ella Dieterlen | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 20.4% | 27.3% |
| Andrew Shaz | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 20.4% | 35.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.