← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Rice University0.28+1.43vs Predicted
-
2Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-0.08+0.85vs Predicted
-
3University of Texas-1.12+1.57vs Predicted
-
4University of Texas-1.19+0.70vs Predicted
-
5Clemson University-0.45-1.47vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University-1.76-0.55vs Predicted
-
7Texas A&M University-1.18-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.43Rice University0.280.4%1st Place
-
2.85Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-0.080.2%1st Place
-
4.57University of Texas-1.120.1%1st Place
-
4.7University of Texas-1.190.1%1st Place
-
3.53Clemson University-0.450.1%1st Place
-
5.45Northwestern University-1.760.0%1st Place
-
4.47Texas A&M University-1.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Slipper | 35.5% | 24.1% | 17.8% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Carew | 23.2% | 25.3% | 19.2% | 16.5% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Kate Lyon | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 17.6% | 21.0% | 16.4% |
| Rohit Rajan | 6.4% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 21.5% | 19.6% |
| Neil Bunce | 13.8% | 18.5% | 19.0% | 18.7% | 14.8% | 10.0% | 5.2% |
| Luke Sadalla | 4.6% | 3.3% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 21.0% | 40.0% |
| Drew Gourley | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 20.4% | 19.8% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.