← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Rice University0.28+1.00vs Predicted
-
2Clemson University-0.45+0.88vs Predicted
-
3Texas A&M University-1.18+1.01vs Predicted
-
4Northwestern University-2.03+1.23vs Predicted
-
5University of Texas-1.12-1.09vs Predicted
-
6University of Texas-1.19-2.04vs Predicted
-
7Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-2.84-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.0Rice University0.280.5%1st Place
-
2.88Clemson University-0.450.2%1st Place
-
4.01Texas A&M University-1.180.1%1st Place
-
5.23Northwestern University-2.030.0%1st Place
-
3.91University of Texas-1.120.1%1st Place
-
3.96University of Texas-1.190.1%1st Place
-
6.02Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Slipper | 46.6% | 25.0% | 16.0% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Neil Bunce | 20.1% | 26.6% | 22.0% | 15.2% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Drew Gourley | 8.7% | 11.9% | 17.5% | 20.6% | 20.8% | 14.3% | 6.2% |
| Millie Rose Taub | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 31.6% | 24.0% |
| Kate Lyon | 9.3% | 14.8% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 18.5% | 14.5% | 6.2% |
| Rohit Rajan | 10.2% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 18.1% | 21.6% | 16.0% | 5.1% |
| Noah Aycock | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 17.9% | 57.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.