← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii1.09+2.12vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.47-0.35vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley-0.50+2.59vs Predicted
-
4Arizona State University-0.75+2.03vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara0.67-1.23vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington-0.41-0.55vs Predicted
-
7University of Southern California0.64-3.09vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego-1.13-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.12University of Hawaii1.090.2%1st Place
-
1.65Stanford University2.470.6%1st Place
-
5.59University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
-
6.03Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
-
3.77University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.1%1st Place
-
5.45University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
-
3.91University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
-
6.49University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 16.0% | 24.6% | 21.5% | 18.7% | 11.3% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Ellie Harned | 57.1% | 26.8% | 11.2% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 2.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 19.2% | 21.5% | 17.2% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 24.8% | 25.7% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 8.8% | 15.8% | 21.7% | 20.3% | 17.0% | 10.7% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Sammy Farkas | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 20.7% | 18.6% | 15.2% |
| Morgana Manti | 8.6% | 15.6% | 19.5% | 19.7% | 16.7% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 2.3% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 10.3% | 16.6% | 22.7% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.