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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.47+0.62vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.64+1.85vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09+0.16vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.75+2.00vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.41+0.51vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.50-0.42vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.67-3.18vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.13-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.62Stanford University2.470.6%1st Place
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3.85University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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3.16University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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6.0Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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5.51University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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5.58University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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3.82University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.1%1st Place
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6.46University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Harned | 58.6% | 26.5% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 9.2% | 15.2% | 20.0% | 19.7% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 14.2% | 23.7% | 23.5% | 19.6% | 11.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 22.2% | 26.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 3.0% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 17.2% | 19.3% | 21.1% | 15.1% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 3.2% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 16.3% | 17.6% | 21.1% | 17.4% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 9.3% | 16.0% | 20.2% | 20.3% | 15.6% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 0.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 16.6% | 22.7% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.