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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara0.67+2.50vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.09+0.90vs Predicted
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3Stanford University1.13-0.19vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.64-0.40vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.13+1.48vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.50-0.50vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.41-1.59vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.75-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.2%1st Place
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2.9University of Hawaii1.090.2%1st Place
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2.81Stanford University1.130.3%1st Place
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3.6University of Southern California0.640.2%1st Place
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6.48University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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5.5University of California at Berkeley-0.500.1%1st Place
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5.41University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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5.8Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evelyn Engebretson | 16.2% | 17.9% | 19.2% | 17.2% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 24.0% | 23.7% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Ava Cornell | 27.1% | 22.1% | 19.6% | 14.6% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Morgana Manti | 15.7% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 16.8% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 22.9% | 40.6% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 18.2% | 20.1% | 17.6% |
| Sammy Farkas | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 19.9% | 20.7% | 15.6% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 18.3% | 22.9% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.