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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+1.84vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.64+1.62vs Predicted
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3Stanford University1.13-0.21vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.67-0.45vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.13+1.48vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.50-0.50vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.75-1.05vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.41-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84University of Hawaii1.090.2%1st Place
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3.62University of Southern California0.640.2%1st Place
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2.79Stanford University1.130.3%1st Place
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3.55University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.2%1st Place
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6.48University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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5.5University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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5.95Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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5.28University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 24.5% | 25.4% | 18.0% | 15.8% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Morgana Manti | 15.5% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 18.1% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Ava Cornell | 26.3% | 22.4% | 21.6% | 14.3% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 16.8% | 16.8% | 16.3% | 18.3% | 15.7% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 15.8% | 22.6% | 39.9% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 21.1% | 17.2% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 16.5% | 23.6% | 26.8% |
| Sammy Farkas | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 18.4% | 18.6% | 20.4% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.