Race 7A

maisa-north-1-qualifier

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Austen Anderson 26.9% 22.0% 21.4% 14.7% 8.0% 4.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Philip Alley 13.9% 17.5% 16.9% 18.9% 13.3% 8.5% 7.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Sachs 6.7% 10.7% 14.2% 14.6% 15.0% 16.4% 10.3% 6.7% 3.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Melissa Bermudez 4.2% 3.7% 8.5% 8.5% 13.4% 15.9% 15.2% 11.7% 9.1% 5.3% 3.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Shawn Murray 34.5% 28.4% 17.1% 10.9% 6.0% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arthur Bailey IV 6.8% 8.2% 9.2% 12.8% 16.3% 14.6% 13.8% 8.8% 5.4% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Codega 2.6% 2.2% 2.4% 4.2% 6.8% 9.3% 8.7% 11.9% 14.7% 13.5% 12.1% 8.3% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Danielle Sookiasian 0.9% 1.2% 2.2% 2.8% 3.6% 5.3% 7.9% 9.6% 12.4% 14.2% 15.7% 15.1% 9.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Clifton Kartner 1.3% 2.0% 2.8% 3.7% 4.9% 6.9% 9.7% 13.0% 13.1% 13.5% 14.1% 10.1% 4.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Gordon 1.0% 1.7% 2.6% 4.1% 4.5% 5.5% 8.7% 14.0% 12.6% 12.9% 12.9% 11.1% 8.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Edward Doran 0.6% 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 3.9% 4.9% 7.5% 9.6% 12.7% 14.1% 15.0% 16.7% 10.2% 0.0% 0.0%
David Geer 0.3% 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 3.0% 3.8% 5.9% 6.4% 9.4% 11.9% 13.1% 19.2% 24.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jon Gambacorta 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 1.3% 1.3% 2.0% 2.9% 5.2% 6.5% 9.6% 12.0% 18.4% 39.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Jon Gambacorta 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 1.3% 1.3% 2.0% 2.9% 5.2% 6.5% 9.6% 12.0% 18.4% 39.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Danielle Sookiasian 0.9% 1.2% 2.2% 2.8% 3.6% 5.3% 7.9% 9.6% 12.4% 14.2% 15.7% 15.1% 9.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.