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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04+2.19vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.72+2.27vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.45+3.82vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61+3.57vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.07-1.83vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.39+4.46vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology-2.49+6.24vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.79+0.30vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+0.25vs Predicted
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10Washington College-1.65+0.84vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-0.48-3.76vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-0.93-3.00vs Predicted
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13Villanova University-1.31-3.42vs Predicted
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14University of Rochester-1.78-2.78vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-1.63-4.58vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-2.72-1.98vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina-2.92-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19St. Mary's College of Maryland1.0424.1%1st Place
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4.27Hampton University0.7213.5%1st Place
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6.82Princeton University-0.455.4%1st Place
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7.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.615.2%1st Place
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3.17SUNY Maritime College1.0726.2%1st Place
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10.46Rutgers University-1.391.8%1st Place
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13.24Stevens Institute of Technology-2.490.9%1st Place
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8.3Princeton University-0.793.7%1st Place
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9.25SUNY Stony Brook-0.603.0%1st Place
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10.84Washington College-1.651.2%1st Place
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7.24Rochester Institute of Technology-0.485.4%1st Place
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9.0Drexel University-0.932.4%1st Place
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9.58Villanova University-1.313.0%1st Place
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11.22University of Rochester-1.781.4%1st Place
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10.42Monmouth University-1.631.7%1st Place
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14.02U. S. Military Academy-2.720.4%1st Place
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14.41University of North Carolina-2.920.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mats Braaten | 24.1% | 21.2% | 18.1% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 13.5% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Noah Kuzloski | 26.2% | 20.4% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Faranetta | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
| Gianmarco Costa | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 18.4% | 18.9% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| George Wood | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 3.3% |
| Ashley Franklin | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Julia Priebke | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Gould | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 5.1% |
| Sarah Ward | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Ella Dieterlen | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 20.5% | 28.1% |
| Andrew Shaz | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 19.5% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.