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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+1.82vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.64+1.63vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.67+0.51vs Predicted
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4Stanford University1.13-1.19vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.41+0.38vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.50-0.51vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.75-1.04vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.13-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82University of Hawaii1.090.3%1st Place
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3.63University of Southern California0.640.2%1st Place
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3.51University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.2%1st Place
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2.81Stanford University1.130.3%1st Place
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5.38University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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5.49University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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5.96Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.39University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 26.6% | 22.3% | 19.6% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Morgana Manti | 15.3% | 16.6% | 17.5% | 17.9% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 16.7% | 16.5% | 19.9% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Ava Cornell | 25.9% | 24.0% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Sammy Farkas | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 22.1% | 13.7% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 17.8% | 19.9% | 17.8% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 18.5% | 21.5% | 27.7% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 16.1% | 22.7% | 37.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.