← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California0.64+2.55vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii1.09+0.90vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University1.13-0.21vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara0.67-0.46vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley-0.50+0.56vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego-1.13+0.46vs Predicted
-
7Arizona State University-0.75-1.06vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington-0.41-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.55University of Southern California0.640.2%1st Place
-
2.9University of Hawaii1.090.2%1st Place
-
2.79Stanford University1.130.3%1st Place
-
3.54University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.2%1st Place
-
5.56University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
-
6.46University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
-
5.94Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
-
5.27University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgana Manti | 15.6% | 17.5% | 19.6% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 1.4% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 23.8% | 23.6% | 18.9% | 16.6% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Ava Cornell | 27.8% | 21.2% | 19.8% | 15.7% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 16.2% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 17.4% | 15.1% | 10.2% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 18.8% | 24.3% | 15.4% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 19.8% | 41.4% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 17.1% | 22.7% | 26.9% |
| Sammy Farkas | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 18.0% | 19.8% | 19.2% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.