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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University1.13+1.77vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.64+1.62vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.67+0.50vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.09-1.12vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.50+0.55vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.41-0.67vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.75-1.03vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.13-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77Stanford University1.130.3%1st Place
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3.62University of Southern California0.640.2%1st Place
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3.5University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.2%1st Place
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2.88University of Hawaii1.090.2%1st Place
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5.55University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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5.33University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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5.97Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.39University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Cornell | 27.4% | 23.0% | 19.6% | 14.4% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Morgana Manti | 15.2% | 16.6% | 17.9% | 18.0% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 1.4% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 16.7% | 16.3% | 20.7% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 25.0% | 23.9% | 15.9% | 18.3% | 10.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 15.4% | 18.0% | 22.7% | 16.9% |
| Sammy Farkas | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 18.3% | 15.4% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 17.9% | 22.4% | 27.4% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 16.3% | 22.8% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.