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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California0.64+2.53vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.09+0.88vs Predicted
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3Stanford University1.13-0.20vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.67-0.45vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.50+0.54vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.75-0.09vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.41-1.59vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.13-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53University of Southern California0.640.2%1st Place
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2.88University of Hawaii1.090.2%1st Place
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2.8Stanford University1.130.3%1st Place
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3.55University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.2%1st Place
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5.54University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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5.91Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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5.41University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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6.38University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgana Manti | 16.0% | 17.3% | 19.3% | 17.9% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 1.2% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 24.2% | 23.1% | 20.0% | 16.0% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Ava Cornell | 27.2% | 22.4% | 19.2% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 16.0% | 18.3% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 20.5% | 21.4% | 16.4% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 20.7% | 27.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 19.5% | 19.6% | 16.5% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 15.7% | 23.6% | 36.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.