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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara0.67+2.46vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.09+0.88vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.64+0.58vs Predicted
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4Stanford University1.13-1.16vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.41+0.40vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.50-0.51vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.75-1.05vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.13-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.2%1st Place
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2.88University of Hawaii1.090.2%1st Place
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3.58University of Southern California0.640.2%1st Place
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2.84Stanford University1.130.3%1st Place
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5.4University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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5.49University of California at Berkeley-0.500.1%1st Place
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5.95Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.4University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evelyn Engebretson | 17.1% | 19.2% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 24.4% | 22.6% | 21.6% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Morgana Manti | 16.9% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Ava Cornell | 25.3% | 22.8% | 18.9% | 17.4% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Sammy Farkas | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 19.3% | 22.0% | 13.5% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 16.4% | 17.8% | 19.7% | 17.8% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 18.3% | 20.7% | 28.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 15.8% | 22.9% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.