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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.91+1.82vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.17+0.41vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.26+3.11vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.34+2.03vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.54-1.50vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.51+2.31vs Predicted
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7Clemson University-0.29+0.66vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-0.73+0.87vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.82+0.12vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-0.60-1.44vs Predicted
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11Duke University-0.18-3.55vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-1.12-1.93vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.48-0.03vs Predicted
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14University of Tennessee-2.51-1.09vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.72-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82North Carolina State University1.910.3%1st Place
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2.41College of Charleston2.170.3%1st Place
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6.11University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.260.0%1st Place
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6.03The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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3.5North Carolina State University1.540.2%1st Place
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8.31University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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7.66Clemson University-0.290.0%1st Place
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8.87University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
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9.12Clemson University-0.820.0%1st Place
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8.56University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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7.45Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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10.07University of Georgia-1.120.0%1st Place
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12.97University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.480.0%1st Place
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12.91University of Tennessee-2.510.0%1st Place
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13.19University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gosselin | 26.5% | 25.2% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Mckenzie | 34.2% | 25.5% | 20.2% | 11.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Simpson | 3.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 17.6% | 17.5% | 20.0% | 17.8% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Charlie Bergendahl | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| William Avery | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| May Proctor | 1.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Sobering | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 7.3% | 1.7% |
| Tonya Hakim | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 17.9% | 27.3% | 29.2% |
| Kyle Shrewsbury | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 9.5% | 17.6% | 25.6% | 28.9% |
| Julia Morash | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 16.3% | 24.6% | 37.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.