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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.91+1.84vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.34+3.96vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.26+3.22vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina-0.73+4.64vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.17-2.53vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.54-2.56vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-1.12+2.41vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-0.82+0.82vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-0.60-0.68vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.29-2.43vs Predicted
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11Duke University-0.18-3.92vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-0.51-3.80vs Predicted
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13University of Tennessee-2.51-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84North Carolina State University1.910.3%1st Place
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5.96The Citadel0.340.1%1st Place
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6.22University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.260.0%1st Place
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8.64University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
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2.47College of Charleston2.170.3%1st Place
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3.44North Carolina State University1.540.2%1st Place
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9.41University of Georgia-1.120.0%1st Place
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8.82Clemson University-0.820.0%1st Place
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8.32University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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7.57Clemson University-0.290.0%1st Place
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7.08Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.2University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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12.04University of Tennessee-2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gosselin | 27.4% | 20.5% | 21.7% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Simpson | 3.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 4.4% |
| Charles Mckenzie | 31.5% | 29.1% | 17.9% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 17.5% | 19.4% | 19.6% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Sobering | 2.0% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 21.5% | 10.2% |
| William Avery | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 5.3% |
| May Proctor | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 4.2% |
| Charlie Bergendahl | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 3.1% |
| Kyle Shrewsbury | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 12.0% | 68.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.