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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+1.82vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.58+8.29vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.80+2.69vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.31+3.08vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.73+1.50vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.69+0.44vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University-0.84+5.56vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18+3.68vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.12+1.36vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.01-1.13vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.26-3.56vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy-0.21+1.02vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.07-3.52vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.12-2.36vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University0.48-4.77vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-0.76-1.54vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.18-8.55vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University-0.55-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82Yale University2.4230.9%1st Place
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10.29Rollins College0.582.7%1st Place
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5.69Georgetown University1.809.7%1st Place
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7.08Roger Williams University1.316.8%1st Place
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6.5Tulane University1.738.9%1st Place
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6.44Brown University1.697.6%1st Place
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12.56Christopher Newport University-0.841.8%1st Place
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11.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.182.0%1st Place
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10.36Clemson University0.123.2%1st Place
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8.87Tufts University1.014.2%1st Place
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7.44College of Charleston1.266.2%1st Place
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13.02U. S. Naval Academy-0.211.1%1st Place
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9.48George Washington University1.073.8%1st Place
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11.64University of Rhode Island0.121.9%1st Place
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10.23Jacksonville University0.482.9%1st Place
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14.46University of Vermont-0.760.9%1st Place
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8.45Northeastern University1.184.5%1st Place
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14.0Northwestern University-0.550.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 30.9% | 23.4% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Emily Doble | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ava Anderson | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Laura Smith | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 10.3% |
| Meara Conley | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.1% |
| Ashton Loring | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Emily Alfortish | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 14.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 29.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.