Race 8A

maisa-north-1-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Austen Anderson 26.9% 22.2% 22.0% 13.9% 8.2% 4.5% 1.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Shawn Murray 34.9% 28.4% 17.1% 10.1% 5.6% 2.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Philip Alley 12.4% 18.2% 18.2% 16.7% 14.2% 10.6% 6.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Sachs 7.6% 10.1% 11.7% 16.0% 16.7% 14.0% 11.3% 7.2% 3.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Arthur Bailey IV 6.4% 7.7% 10.8% 12.3% 14.0% 15.2% 14.7% 8.7% 5.7% 2.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jon Gambacorta 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 1.3% 1.7% 3.9% 4.4% 4.3% 6.0% 8.3% 13.4% 18.7% 36.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Gordon 1.7% 2.0% 2.2% 4.0% 4.7% 6.4% 7.8% 11.4% 15.9% 12.8% 14.0% 11.0% 6.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Clifton Kartner 1.5% 1.9% 2.9% 4.4% 5.5% 6.1% 9.6% 12.9% 13.8% 16.7% 11.3% 8.9% 4.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Danielle Sookiasian 1.2% 1.2% 2.1% 3.3% 3.3% 5.0% 7.1% 9.7% 11.2% 15.1% 14.7% 14.5% 11.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Melissa Bermudez 4.7% 5.0% 6.4% 9.7% 14.0% 16.7% 13.0% 11.4% 9.0% 5.5% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
James Codega 1.1% 1.4% 3.4% 4.2% 7.5% 8.1% 11.9% 13.8% 14.1% 13.7% 9.5% 8.3% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Danielle Sookiasian 1.2% 1.2% 2.1% 3.3% 3.3% 5.0% 7.1% 9.7% 11.2% 15.1% 14.7% 14.5% 11.6% 0.0% 0.0%
David Geer 0.6% 0.4% 1.3% 1.9% 2.1% 3.2% 4.8% 6.9% 9.4% 11.1% 14.7% 19.0% 24.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Edward Doran 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 2.2% 2.5% 3.9% 6.7% 10.1% 11.0% 12.4% 17.0% 18.1% 13.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jon Gambacorta 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 1.3% 1.7% 3.9% 4.4% 4.3% 6.0% 8.3% 13.4% 18.7% 36.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.