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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.72+3.95vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+1.66vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.07+0.59vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04-0.43vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.48+2.62vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.28+0.97vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.45+0.45vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.79+0.92vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+0.66vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.93-0.56vs Predicted
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11Stevens Institute of Technology-2.49+2.65vs Predicted
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12Villanova University-1.31-1.90vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester-1.78-1.27vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-2.72+0.11vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-1.97-2.87vs Predicted
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16Monmouth University-1.63-5.20vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina-2.92-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95Hampton University0.7211.5%1st Place
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3.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.9919.3%1st Place
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3.59SUNY Maritime College1.0718.7%1st Place
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3.57St. Mary's College of Maryland1.0420.9%1st Place
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7.62Rochester Institute of Technology-0.484.9%1st Place
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6.97Washington College-0.285.1%1st Place
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7.45Princeton University-0.454.2%1st Place
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8.92Princeton University-0.792.9%1st Place
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9.66SUNY Stony Brook-0.602.3%1st Place
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9.44Drexel University-0.932.4%1st Place
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13.65Stevens Institute of Technology-2.490.5%1st Place
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10.1Villanova University-1.312.1%1st Place
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11.73University of Rochester-1.781.3%1st Place
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14.11U. S. Military Academy-2.720.8%1st Place
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12.13Rutgers University-1.970.7%1st Place
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10.8Monmouth University-1.632.1%1st Place
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14.66University of North Carolina-2.920.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 11.5% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 19.3% | 18.7% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Kuzloski | 18.7% | 20.1% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mats Braaten | 20.9% | 18.2% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Franklin | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tis | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Gianmarco Costa | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 20.3% | 19.4% |
| Julia Priebke | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Gould | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 5.2% |
| Ella Dieterlen | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 22.2% | 24.6% |
| Ralph Molinari | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 7.0% |
| Sarah Ward | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Andrew Shaz | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 18.1% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.