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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.91+1.87vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.17+0.47vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.54+0.46vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.34+2.00vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.29+2.50vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.51+2.06vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.18+0.17vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-0.82+0.81vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-0.73-0.30vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.26-3.88vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-0.60-2.86vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-1.12-2.30vs Predicted
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13University of Tennessee-2.51-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87North Carolina State University1.910.2%1st Place
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2.47College of Charleston2.170.3%1st Place
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3.46North Carolina State University1.540.2%1st Place
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6.0The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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7.5Clemson University-0.290.0%1st Place
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8.06University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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7.17Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.81Clemson University-0.820.0%1st Place
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8.7University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
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6.12University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.260.1%1st Place
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8.14University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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9.7University of Georgia-1.120.0%1st Place
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12.01University of Tennessee-2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gosselin | 25.0% | 22.9% | 21.6% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Mckenzie | 33.6% | 25.5% | 19.5% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 16.7% | 20.2% | 18.2% | 17.7% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Bergendahl | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 2.6% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 4.1% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| William Avery | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 4.7% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 5.6% |
| Andrew Simpson | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| May Proctor | 1.4% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 3.9% |
| Oliver Sobering | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 23.2% | 11.8% |
| Kyle Shrewsbury | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 12.7% | 67.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.