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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-0.19+3.76vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.09-0.36vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.20+1.83vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-0.75+1.99vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.84+1.08vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-2.86+4.50vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-2.68+3.09vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-0.97-1.63vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University0.98-6.19vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.32-0.52vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-1.73-2.94vs Predicted
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12University of Tennessee-3.06-1.00vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-2.21-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76North Carolina State University-0.190.1%1st Place
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1.64College of Charleston2.090.6%1st Place
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4.83University of North Carolina-0.200.0%1st Place
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5.99The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.08Duke University-0.840.0%1st Place
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10.5University of Georgia-2.860.0%1st Place
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10.09University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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6.37Clemson University-0.970.0%1st Place
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2.81North Carolina State University0.980.2%1st Place
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9.48University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.320.0%1st Place
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8.06Clemson University-1.730.0%1st Place
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11.0University of Tennessee-3.060.0%1st Place
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9.38University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annika Milstien | 6.4% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Thomson | 57.9% | 27.0% | 10.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 4.1% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camden Hom | 2.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Ringel | 3.1% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Bales Brannon | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 21.4% | 23.8% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 20.6% | 17.4% |
| Matthew Laufer | 3.2% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Brelage | 19.5% | 29.4% | 23.7% | 15.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caswell Kern | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 10.8% |
| Myah Frashier | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Katy Woo | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 18.6% | 37.5% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 18.9% | 14.3% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.