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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.98+1.82vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.09-0.37vs Predicted
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3The Citadel-0.75+3.00vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.19+0.82vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.84+1.07vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.97+0.37vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.20-2.28vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-2.86+2.52vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-1.73-0.79vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee-3.06+0.88vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina-2.68-0.97vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.32-2.42vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-2.21-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82North Carolina State University0.980.2%1st Place
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1.63College of Charleston2.090.6%1st Place
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6.0The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
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4.82North Carolina State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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6.07Duke University-0.840.0%1st Place
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6.37Clemson University-0.970.0%1st Place
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4.72University of North Carolina-0.200.1%1st Place
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10.52University of Georgia-2.860.0%1st Place
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8.21Clemson University-1.730.0%1st Place
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10.88University of Tennessee-3.060.0%1st Place
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10.03University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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9.58University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.320.0%1st Place
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9.34University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brelage | 18.4% | 29.7% | 24.0% | 15.4% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Thomson | 59.1% | 25.7% | 9.8% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camden Hom | 2.7% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Annika Milstien | 4.6% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 17.7% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Ringel | 3.1% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Laufer | 2.4% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Kathleen Hale | 6.1% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bales Brannon | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 22.3% | 24.6% |
| Myah Frashier | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Katy Woo | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 20.5% | 34.0% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 17.6% | 17.0% |
| Caswell Kern | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 19.4% | 14.2% | 11.9% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 17.6% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.