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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.09+0.61vs Predicted
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2Duke University-0.84+4.13vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.19+1.84vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.98-1.15vs Predicted
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5The Citadel-0.75+0.85vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.97+0.38vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-2.68+3.08vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.20-3.20vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-1.73-0.82vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.32-0.58vs Predicted
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11University of Tennessee-3.06-0.13vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-2.86-1.35vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-2.21-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.61College of Charleston2.090.6%1st Place
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6.13Duke University-0.840.0%1st Place
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4.84North Carolina State University-0.190.1%1st Place
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2.85North Carolina State University0.980.2%1st Place
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5.85The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.38Clemson University-0.970.0%1st Place
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10.08University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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4.8University of North Carolina-0.200.1%1st Place
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8.18Clemson University-1.730.0%1st Place
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9.42University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.320.0%1st Place
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10.87University of Tennessee-3.060.0%1st Place
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10.65University of Georgia-2.860.0%1st Place
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9.33University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Thomson | 57.8% | 28.6% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ringel | 2.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Annika Milstien | 5.6% | 8.1% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 16.6% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Brelage | 17.9% | 30.9% | 22.6% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camden Hom | 4.7% | 5.3% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Laufer | 2.1% | 4.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 17.3% | 20.5% | 17.8% |
| Kathleen Hale | 5.8% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Myah Frashier | 0.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Caswell Kern | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 10.6% |
| Katy Woo | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 16.1% | 19.2% | 31.9% |
| Bales Brannon | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 21.5% | 27.0% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 16.5% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.