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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-0.19+3.74vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.09-0.39vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.20+1.68vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.98-1.20vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.84+0.97vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.97+0.25vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-0.75-1.31vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-1.73-0.27vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-2.68+0.55vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-2.86-0.15vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-2.21-2.15vs Predicted
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12University of Tennessee-3.06-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74North Carolina State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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1.61College of Charleston2.090.6%1st Place
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4.68University of North Carolina-0.200.1%1st Place
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2.8North Carolina State University0.980.2%1st Place
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5.97Duke University-0.840.0%1st Place
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6.25Clemson University-0.970.0%1st Place
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5.69The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
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7.73Clemson University-1.730.0%1st Place
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9.55University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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9.85University of Georgia-2.860.0%1st Place
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8.85University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
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10.27University of Tennessee-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annika Milstien | 4.8% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Thomson | 59.2% | 25.8% | 10.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 5.9% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 12.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Brelage | 17.7% | 31.7% | 23.5% | 14.1% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ringel | 2.8% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Laufer | 2.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Camden Hom | 3.5% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Myah Frashier | 1.5% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 16.5% | 17.9% | 14.4% | 7.5% | 4.3% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 24.1% | 18.3% |
| Bales Brannon | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 16.3% | 24.2% | 27.1% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 19.8% | 16.7% | 11.3% |
| Katy Woo | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 15.5% | 22.5% | 37.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.