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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.98+1.80vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.19+2.71vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.09-1.37vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-0.75+1.84vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.84+0.94vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.20-1.30vs Predicted
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7Clemson University-1.73+0.72vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-2.21+0.71vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.97-2.84vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-2.86-0.19vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina-2.68-1.33vs Predicted
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12University of Tennessee-3.06-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8North Carolina State University0.980.2%1st Place
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4.71North Carolina State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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1.63College of Charleston2.090.6%1st Place
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5.84The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
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5.94Duke University-0.840.0%1st Place
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4.7University of North Carolina-0.200.1%1st Place
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7.72Clemson University-1.730.0%1st Place
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8.71University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
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6.16Clemson University-0.970.0%1st Place
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9.81University of Georgia-2.860.0%1st Place
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9.67University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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10.31University of Tennessee-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brelage | 20.0% | 29.3% | 23.6% | 14.3% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Milstien | 4.5% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Thomson | 57.7% | 27.3% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camden Hom | 2.4% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Ringel | 3.2% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Kathleen Hale | 5.6% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Myah Frashier | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 8.6% | 3.7% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 20.1% | 18.1% | 8.3% |
| Matthew Laufer | 3.0% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 11.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Bales Brannon | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 17.4% | 23.0% | 26.6% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 13.5% | 18.6% | 23.3% | 22.4% |
| Katy Woo | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 22.8% | 38.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.