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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-0.19+3.70vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.09-0.38vs Predicted
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3Duke University-0.84+2.96vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.98-1.20vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.20-0.29vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.75-0.21vs Predicted
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7Clemson University-0.97-0.81vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-2.68+1.56vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-1.73-1.28vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-2.21-1.30vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-2.86-1.02vs Predicted
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12University of Tennessee-3.06-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.7North Carolina State University-0.190.1%1st Place
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1.62College of Charleston2.090.6%1st Place
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5.96Duke University-0.840.0%1st Place
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2.8North Carolina State University0.980.2%1st Place
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4.71University of North Carolina-0.200.1%1st Place
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5.79The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.19Clemson University-0.970.0%1st Place
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9.56University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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7.72Clemson University-1.730.0%1st Place
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8.7University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
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9.98University of Georgia-2.860.0%1st Place
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10.29University of Tennessee-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annika Milstien | 5.1% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Thomson | 59.1% | 25.8% | 11.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ringel | 2.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Brelage | 18.5% | 29.8% | 24.8% | 15.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 6.2% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 19.4% | 16.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camden Hom | 2.8% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Laufer | 2.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 12.9% | 18.1% | 22.8% | 21.1% |
| Myah Frashier | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 15.0% | 7.3% | 2.6% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.7% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 19.5% | 15.6% | 10.0% |
| Bales Brannon | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 16.6% | 26.6% | 27.3% |
| Katy Woo | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 22.5% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.