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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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11.87+2.89vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.48+2.81vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.64+3.20vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.03+1.31vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University2.11-1.59vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.72-0.01vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-4.15vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-3.88vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.22-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.891.870.2%1st Place
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4.81University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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6.2University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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5.31University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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3.41San Diego State University2.110.2%1st Place
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5.99University of Washington0.720.0%1st Place
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2.85University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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4.12California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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8.42University of California at Los Angeles-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Sih | 15.5% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 0.2% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 7.0% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 2.1% |
| Carsten Zieger | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 18.2% | 29.2% | 8.4% |
| Everett McAvoy | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 17.3% | 16.3% | 3.0% |
| Noah Nyenhuis | 21.2% | 20.1% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Oliver Nairn | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 21.3% | 24.9% | 6.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 26.5% | 24.0% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 14.6% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Rigel Mummers | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 78.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.