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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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11.87+2.87vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University2.11+1.63vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+1.14vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.72+1.92vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-2.23vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.03-0.57vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.48-2.35vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.64-1.83vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.22-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.871.870.1%1st Place
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3.63San Diego State University2.110.1%1st Place
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4.14California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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5.92University of Washington0.720.0%1st Place
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2.77University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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5.43University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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4.65University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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6.17University of California at Berkeley0.640.1%1st Place
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8.43University of California at Los Angeles-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Sih | 15.0% | 15.6% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Noah Nyenhuis | 14.7% | 19.6% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 11.9% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 0.4% |
| Oliver Nairn | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 24.6% | 6.6% |
| Henry Boeger | 31.4% | 22.1% | 17.3% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Everett McAvoy | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 19.1% | 18.1% | 2.7% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 1.3% |
| Carsten Zieger | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 18.9% | 27.5% | 9.3% |
| Rigel Mummers | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 79.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.