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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University2.11+2.70vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.76+0.76vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.48+1.88vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+0.24vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-2.02vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.64+0.23vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.03-1.38vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-1.22+0.44vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.72-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7San Diego State University2.110.2%1st Place
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2.76Stanford University2.760.3%1st Place
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4.88University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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4.24California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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2.98University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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6.23University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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5.62University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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8.44University of California at Los Angeles-1.220.0%1st Place
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6.16University of Washington0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Nyenhuis | 15.4% | 16.5% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Chapman Petersen | 26.7% | 24.3% | 19.9% | 14.4% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 8.7% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 10.6% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 17.5% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Henry Boeger | 26.2% | 22.1% | 18.1% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Carsten Zieger | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 20.2% | 27.3% | 8.0% |
| Everett McAvoy | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 17.4% | 19.1% | 18.7% | 3.0% |
| Rigel Mummers | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 9.6% | 78.3% |
| Oliver Nairn | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 19.2% | 26.9% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.