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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+2.51vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.72+2.74vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.07+0.39vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.08+2.04vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.57+2.13vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.39+4.58vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-1.78+4.39vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+1.58vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.93+0.22vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-1.32-0.17vs Predicted
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11Washington College-1.65-0.07vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-2.92+2.40vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-1.63-2.44vs Predicted
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14Villanova University-1.59-3.18vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-2.72-0.89vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04-12.53vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology-2.49-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.9920.7%1st Place
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4.74Hampton University0.7212.2%1st Place
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3.39SUNY Maritime College1.0720.4%1st Place
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6.04Princeton University-0.086.0%1st Place
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7.13Princeton University-0.574.7%1st Place
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10.58Rutgers University-1.391.3%1st Place
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11.39University of Rochester-1.781.4%1st Place
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9.58SUNY Stony Brook-0.602.2%1st Place
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9.22Drexel University-0.932.1%1st Place
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9.83Rochester Institute of Technology-1.322.1%1st Place
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10.93Washington College-1.651.3%1st Place
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14.4University of North Carolina-2.920.5%1st Place
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10.56Monmouth University-1.631.9%1st Place
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10.82Villanova University-1.591.8%1st Place
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14.11U. S. Military Academy-2.720.6%1st Place
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3.47St. Mary's College of Maryland1.0420.3%1st Place
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13.27Stevens Institute of Technology-2.490.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed McAllister | 20.7% | 17.9% | 16.3% | 16.1% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 12.2% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Kuzloski | 20.4% | 20.3% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Advik Eswaran | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Roberts | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kate Faranetta | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Nicholas Gould | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 4.3% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Kristen McDonough | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| George Wood | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 3.5% |
| Andrew Shaz | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 19.1% | 34.6% |
| Sarah Ward | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Sam Randall | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Ella Dieterlen | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 20.3% | 26.6% |
| Mats Braaten | 20.3% | 20.5% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gianmarco Costa | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 17.8% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.