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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.45+6.03vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.48+2.75vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-0.58vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57+0.71vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.28-1.77vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.43-1.16vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.79-1.94vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy0.54-0.48vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.04-4.24vs Predicted
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11Colgate University0.49-2.41vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-0.65-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.03Webb Institute1.450.0%1st Place
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4.75Cornell University2.480.1%1st Place
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2.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.3%1st Place
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4.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.1%1st Place
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3.23SUNY Maritime College3.280.2%1st Place
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4.84Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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6.06Queen's University1.790.1%1st Place
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8.52U. S. Military Academy0.540.0%1st Place
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5.76Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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8.59Colgate University0.490.0%1st Place
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10.09Drexel University-0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Douglas Zangre | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 20.7% | 17.8% | 9.7% | 3.3% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 8.9% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 33.1% | 28.4% | 18.0% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Boger | 9.5% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Randall Hartranft | 21.4% | 20.7% | 19.3% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 8.9% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Charles Legge | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 6.0% | 1.2% |
| Lucas Holmes | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 20.5% | 28.8% | 14.4% |
| Alex Reynolds | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Morgan Beals | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 19.8% | 31.1% | 15.6% |
| Hunter Snyder | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 7.6% | 17.1% | 63.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.