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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+2.03vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University2.11+1.85vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+1.33vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.76-1.41vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.48-0.32vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.64+0.26vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.22+1.47vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.72-1.83vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.03-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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3.85San Diego State University2.110.1%1st Place
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4.33California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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2.59Stanford University2.760.3%1st Place
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4.68University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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6.26University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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8.47University of California at Los Angeles-1.220.0%1st Place
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6.17University of Washington0.720.0%1st Place
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5.62University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Boeger | 23.0% | 22.1% | 17.8% | 17.7% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Noah Nyenhuis | 12.6% | 16.0% | 17.6% | 17.5% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 11.0% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Chapman Petersen | 31.3% | 24.7% | 17.8% | 13.6% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 8.5% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 1.8% |
| Carsten Zieger | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 21.1% | 27.7% | 7.4% |
| Rigel Mummers | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 10.4% | 78.0% |
| Oliver Nairn | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 21.3% | 24.9% | 8.3% |
| Everett McAvoy | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 19.2% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.