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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University2.11+2.65vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.03+3.79vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+1.34vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.76-1.39vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-2.03vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.72+0.11vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.48-2.18vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.64-1.72vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.22-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65San Diego State University2.110.2%1st Place
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5.79University of Hawaii1.030.0%1st Place
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4.34California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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2.61Stanford University2.760.3%1st Place
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2.97University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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6.11University of Washington0.720.0%1st Place
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4.82University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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6.28University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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8.43University of California at Los Angeles-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Nyenhuis | 15.7% | 16.3% | 16.3% | 18.4% | 15.5% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Everett McAvoy | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 17.3% | 17.8% | 19.5% | 5.4% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 10.1% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 10.8% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Chapman Petersen | 28.7% | 26.8% | 19.5% | 13.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 25.3% | 23.0% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Nairn | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 23.5% | 25.4% | 5.9% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 7.5% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 1.4% |
| Carsten Zieger | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 29.2% | 8.7% |
| Rigel Mummers | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 9.5% | 77.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.