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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+3.34vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+1.18vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.48+1.87vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.76-1.41vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.03+0.47vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University2.11-2.37vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.64-0.67vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.72-1.86vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.22-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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3.18University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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4.87University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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2.59Stanford University2.760.3%1st Place
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5.47University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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3.63San Diego State University2.110.2%1st Place
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6.33University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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6.14University of Washington0.720.0%1st Place
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8.46University of California at Los Angeles-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Mueller | 10.4% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 5.5% | 0.3% |
| Henry Boeger | 20.4% | 21.2% | 18.6% | 17.7% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 7.7% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 9.5% | 1.3% |
| Chapman Petersen | 31.7% | 24.4% | 18.1% | 13.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Everett McAvoy | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 17.5% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 4.6% |
| Noah Nyenhuis | 16.8% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 21.7% | 29.1% | 8.0% |
| Oliver Nairn | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 20.9% | 26.3% | 7.2% |
| Rigel Mummers | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 78.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.