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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+2.04vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.76+0.77vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.48+1.87vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+0.22vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University2.11-1.38vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.03-0.44vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.72-0.82vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.64-1.70vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.22-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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2.77Stanford University2.760.3%1st Place
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4.87University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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4.22California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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3.62San Diego State University2.110.2%1st Place
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5.56University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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6.18University of Washington0.720.0%1st Place
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6.3University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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8.45University of California at Los Angeles-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Boeger | 24.2% | 19.9% | 19.7% | 16.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Chapman Petersen | 27.4% | 23.2% | 20.6% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 6.8% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 17.9% | 15.1% | 8.4% | 1.7% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 10.5% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Noah Nyenhuis | 16.9% | 19.1% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Everett McAvoy | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 20.0% | 17.0% | 3.0% |
| Oliver Nairn | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 20.2% | 28.0% | 6.1% |
| Carsten Zieger | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 19.4% | 28.0% | 9.4% |
| Rigel Mummers | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 78.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.