← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii1.03+4.59vs Predicted
-
2San Diego State University2.11+1.87vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley0.64+3.31vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University2.76-1.42vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-2.01vs Predicted
-
6University of Southern California1.48-1.26vs Predicted
-
7California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-2.67vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington0.72-1.84vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles-1.22-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.59University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
-
3.87San Diego State University2.110.1%1st Place
-
6.31University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
-
2.58Stanford University2.760.3%1st Place
-
2.99University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
-
4.74University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
-
4.33California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
-
6.16University of Washington0.720.0%1st Place
-
8.44University of California at Los Angeles-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett McAvoy | 5.1% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 19.4% | 18.2% | 3.3% |
| Noah Nyenhuis | 12.0% | 15.5% | 17.3% | 19.1% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Carsten Zieger | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 20.9% | 28.2% | 8.2% |
| Chapman Petersen | 30.0% | 26.1% | 19.2% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 26.0% | 22.0% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 18.8% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 10.2% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
| Oliver Nairn | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 21.6% | 26.2% | 7.7% |
| Rigel Mummers | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 9.5% | 78.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.