← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Hudson Mayfield 9.2% 8.3% 11.8% 12.5% 15.3% 16.6% 14.8% 10.2% 1.3%
Chapman Petersen 26.8% 25.7% 17.8% 14.4% 7.7% 4.4% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Noah Nyenhuis 14.9% 16.8% 17.2% 16.2% 14.2% 11.3% 6.9% 2.1% 0.4%
Everett McAvoy 5.8% 5.7% 7.9% 10.1% 14.0% 16.7% 19.3% 17.4% 3.1%
Carsten Zieger 3.4% 4.3% 7.1% 7.6% 9.9% 12.7% 18.9% 26.6% 9.5%
Henry Boeger 24.2% 21.7% 20.0% 14.4% 10.4% 5.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Nicholas Mueller 11.0% 10.8% 12.9% 16.6% 16.9% 16.3% 9.5% 5.7% 0.3%
Oliver Nairn 4.3% 5.8% 4.4% 7.1% 9.5% 14.1% 20.5% 26.7% 7.6%
Rigel Mummers 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 2.1% 2.2% 4.5% 10.1% 77.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.