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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.48+3.84vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.76+0.77vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University2.11+0.72vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.03+1.54vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.64+1.20vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-3.03vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-2.65vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.72-1.85vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.22-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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2.77Stanford University2.760.3%1st Place
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3.72San Diego State University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.54University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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6.2University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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2.97University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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4.35California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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6.15University of Washington0.720.0%1st Place
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8.46University of California at Los Angeles-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 9.2% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 1.3% |
| Chapman Petersen | 26.8% | 25.7% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Noah Nyenhuis | 14.9% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Everett McAvoy | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 19.3% | 17.4% | 3.1% |
| Carsten Zieger | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 18.9% | 26.6% | 9.5% |
| Henry Boeger | 24.2% | 21.7% | 20.0% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 0.3% |
| Oliver Nairn | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 20.5% | 26.7% | 7.6% |
| Rigel Mummers | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 10.1% | 77.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.