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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rice University0.28+1.44vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University-1.18+2.25vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University0.11-0.43vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University0.11-1.43vs Predicted
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5University of Texas-0.86-1.12vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-0.08-3.03vs Predicted
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7University of Texas-1.62-2.12vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-1.18-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Rice University0.280.3%1st Place
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4.25Texas A&M University-1.180.1%1st Place
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2.57Texas A&M University0.110.3%1st Place
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2.57Texas A&M University0.110.3%1st Place
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3.88University of Texas-0.860.1%1st Place
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2.97Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-0.080.2%1st Place
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4.88University of Texas-1.620.0%1st Place
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4.25Texas A&M University-1.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Slipper | 30.3% | 27.9% | 19.7% | 13.8% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gourley | 7.3% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 18.9% | 25.6% | 26.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Mather | 27.4% | 25.1% | 22.4% | 15.4% | 7.4% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Mather | 27.4% | 25.1% | 22.4% | 15.4% | 7.4% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Fenner | 11.0% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 22.4% | 25.7% | 15.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Carew | 19.6% | 23.9% | 20.9% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 5.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Carella | 4.4% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 21.6% | 48.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gourley | 7.3% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 18.9% | 25.6% | 26.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.