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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.72+3.81vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College1.07+1.56vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04+0.55vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+5.29vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.08+1.02vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.57+1.28vs Predicted
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7Washington College-1.65+4.10vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.39+2.46vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.93+0.09vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-1.78+1.40vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-1.32-1.29vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-2.92+2.51vs Predicted
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13Villanova University-1.59-2.21vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-2.72-0.04vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-1.63-4.42vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology-2.49-2.53vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-13.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81Hampton University0.7210.8%1st Place
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3.56SUNY Maritime College1.0720.8%1st Place
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3.55St. Mary's College of Maryland1.0421.2%1st Place
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9.29SUNY Stony Brook-0.602.7%1st Place
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6.02Princeton University-0.086.8%1st Place
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7.28Princeton University-0.573.5%1st Place
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11.1Washington College-1.651.6%1st Place
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10.46Rutgers University-1.391.9%1st Place
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9.09Drexel University-0.932.7%1st Place
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11.4University of Rochester-1.781.3%1st Place
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9.71Rochester Institute of Technology-1.322.2%1st Place
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14.51University of North Carolina-2.920.3%1st Place
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10.79Villanova University-1.591.6%1st Place
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13.96U. S. Military Academy-2.720.2%1st Place
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10.58Monmouth University-1.632.1%1st Place
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13.47Stevens Institute of Technology-2.490.5%1st Place
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3.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.9919.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 10.8% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Kuzloski | 20.8% | 17.5% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mats Braaten | 21.2% | 16.7% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Advik Eswaran | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Roberts | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| George Wood | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 4.0% |
| Kate Faranetta | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Gould | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 3.6% |
| Kristen McDonough | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Shaz | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 18.6% | 35.9% |
| Sam Randall | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Ella Dieterlen | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 19.9% | 26.9% |
| Sarah Ward | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| Gianmarco Costa | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 19.4% | 18.8% |
| Reed McAllister | 19.8% | 20.9% | 18.1% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.