Race 2B

maisa-north-1-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Johnny Norfleet 35.3% 25.7% 18.8% 11.9% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Randall Hartranft 20.9% 21.0% 17.6% 14.9% 12.1% 8.0% 3.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Douglas Zangre 3.4% 3.8% 4.9% 5.3% 6.9% 10.5% 13.5% 18.8% 18.5% 11.4% 3.0%
Charles Legge 4.1% 4.4% 6.4% 8.8% 10.5% 12.3% 14.8% 18.2% 11.9% 7.6% 1.0%
Robert Boger 10.0% 11.4% 12.8% 15.4% 14.3% 13.6% 10.4% 7.1% 3.4% 1.5% 0.1%
Alden Sonnenfeldt 8.3% 11.4% 12.5% 13.9% 13.9% 15.6% 11.1% 7.8% 4.4% 1.1% 0.0%
Morgan Beals 1.0% 2.7% 2.8% 1.9% 3.4% 5.4% 7.1% 11.2% 19.6% 28.8% 16.1%
Lucas Holmes 1.7% 1.3% 2.2% 2.6% 3.5% 6.4% 7.8% 11.7% 19.0% 28.2% 15.6%
Alex Reynolds 5.6% 7.4% 7.9% 11.3% 13.1% 12.6% 15.9% 12.1% 9.3% 3.6% 1.2%
Irene Jacqz 9.1% 10.7% 13.3% 13.4% 15.6% 11.5% 12.2% 7.3% 5.2% 1.5% 0.2%
Hunter Snyder 0.6% 0.2% 0.8% 0.6% 1.2% 2.1% 2.9% 4.2% 8.4% 16.2% 62.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.