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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rice University0.28+1.43vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University0.11+0.60vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-0.08-0.17vs Predicted
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4University of Texas-1.62+0.81vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University0.11-2.40vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University-1.18-1.60vs Predicted
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7University of Texas-0.86-3.06vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-1.18-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Rice University0.280.3%1st Place
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2.6Texas A&M University0.110.3%1st Place
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2.83Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-0.080.2%1st Place
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4.81University of Texas-1.620.0%1st Place
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2.6Texas A&M University0.110.3%1st Place
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4.4Texas A&M University-1.180.1%1st Place
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3.94University of Texas-0.860.1%1st Place
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4.4Texas A&M University-1.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Slipper | 30.1% | 27.0% | 22.9% | 11.9% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Mather | 28.3% | 24.9% | 19.7% | 16.0% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Carew | 22.0% | 22.7% | 22.0% | 20.0% | 10.6% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Carella | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 13.7% | 23.0% | 45.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Mather | 28.3% | 24.9% | 19.7% | 16.0% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gourley | 5.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 18.8% | 27.5% | 28.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Fenner | 9.3% | 9.9% | 18.5% | 19.6% | 25.6% | 17.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gourley | 5.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 18.8% | 27.5% | 28.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.