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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College1.07+2.60vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.72+2.81vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.57+4.33vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-0.40vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+4.55vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04-2.38vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.08-0.61vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-1.32+1.93vs Predicted
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9Washington College-0.28-2.23vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.93-0.92vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-2.08+1.32vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester-1.78-0.56vs Predicted
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13Villanova University-1.59-2.21vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-1.97-1.86vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-2.72-0.98vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-2.92-1.75vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology-2.49-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6SUNY Maritime College1.0719.6%1st Place
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4.81Hampton University0.7210.9%1st Place
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7.33Princeton University-0.574.9%1st Place
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3.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.9919.8%1st Place
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9.55SUNY Stony Brook-0.602.2%1st Place
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3.62St. Mary's College of Maryland1.0419.7%1st Place
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6.39Princeton University-0.086.2%1st Place
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9.93Rochester Institute of Technology-1.321.9%1st Place
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6.77Washington College-0.285.7%1st Place
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9.08Drexel University-0.932.9%1st Place
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12.32Monmouth University-2.080.9%1st Place
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11.44University of Rochester-1.781.3%1st Place
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10.79Villanova University-1.591.3%1st Place
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12.14Rutgers University-1.970.9%1st Place
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14.02U. S. Military Academy-2.720.7%1st Place
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14.25University of North Carolina-2.920.5%1st Place
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13.36Stevens Institute of Technology-2.490.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Kuzloski | 19.6% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 10.9% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Roberts | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Reed McAllister | 19.8% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Mats Braaten | 19.7% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Advik Eswaran | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kristen McDonough | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Tis | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Isabella Hughes | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 7.5% |
| Nicholas Gould | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 4.3% |
| Sam Randall | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Ralph Molinari | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 7.1% |
| Ella Dieterlen | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 18.6% | 26.3% |
| Andrew Shaz | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 19.1% | 32.0% |
| Gianmarco Costa | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.