Race 3B

maisa-north-1-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Johnny Norfleet 35.7% 25.7% 18.7% 10.4% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Irene Jacqz 7.7% 11.3% 11.1% 15.3% 15.2% 12.6% 11.6% 9.2% 4.0% 1.9% 0.1%
Alden Sonnenfeldt 7.7% 9.7% 11.7% 13.2% 15.8% 14.4% 13.4% 8.1% 4.3% 1.6% 0.1%
Robert Boger 8.7% 10.7% 13.7% 13.5% 16.6% 13.1% 11.9% 7.4% 3.7% 0.4% 0.3%
Alex Reynolds 6.6% 7.0% 9.1% 11.1% 10.3% 14.7% 14.1% 12.6% 9.8% 3.9% 0.8%
Douglas Zangre 2.9% 3.7% 5.0% 6.4% 8.4% 10.3% 14.4% 17.7% 16.5% 11.4% 3.3%
Charles Legge 5.6% 6.1% 7.1% 9.4% 11.1% 13.7% 13.5% 15.3% 10.5% 6.8% 0.9%
Morgan Beals 1.7% 1.5% 1.5% 2.6% 2.8% 5.7% 8.2% 12.3% 20.7% 26.4% 16.6%
Lucas Holmes 1.3% 1.9% 2.1% 2.9% 3.3% 4.6% 5.7% 11.2% 21.3% 29.8% 15.9%
Hunter Snyder 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 1.1% 1.6% 1.9% 2.4% 3.9% 8.3% 17.7% 62.0%
Randall Hartranft 21.7% 22.1% 19.6% 14.1% 9.2% 6.4% 3.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.